Agar, M. (2003). My Kingdom for a Function: Modeling Misadventures of the Innumerate. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 6(3). http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/6/3/8.html
Ahmed, M., & Ogden, J. (1987). Population dynamics of the emergent conifer(D. Don) Lindl. (Kauri) in New Zealand I. Population structures and tree growth rates in mature stands. New Zealand Journal of Botany, 25(2), 217–229. https://doi.org/10.1080/0028825X.1987.10410068
Ashton, A. D., & Murray, A. B. (2006). High-angle wave instability and emergent shoreline shapes: 1. Modeling of sand waves, flying spits, and capes. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111(F4). https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JF000422
Ashton, A., Murray, A. B., & Arnault, O. (2001). Formation of coastline features by large-scale instabilities induced by high-angle waves. Nature, 414(6861), 296–300. https://doi.org/10.1038/35104541
B. T. Werner. (1995). Eolian dunes: Computer simulations and attractor interpretation. Geology, 23(12), 1107–1110. https://doi.org/10.1130/0091-7613
Banded vegetation: development under uniform rainfall from a simple cellular automaton model. (n.d.). http://link.springer.com.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/article/10.1023/A:1009725732740
Beck, M. B. (1987). Water quality modeling: A review of the analysis of uncertainty. Water Resources Research, 23(8), 1393–1442. https://doi.org/10.1029/WR023i008p01393
Bock, R. K., & Krischer, W. (1998). The Data Analysis BriefBook: Vol. Accelerator Physics [Electronic resource]. Springer Berlin Heidelberg. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-03725-6
Botkin, D. B. (1993). Forest dynamics: an ecological model [Electronic resource]. Oxford University Press. https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/auckland/detail.action?docID=3051918
Botsford, L. W. (1997). The Management of Fisheries and Marine Ecosystems. Science, 277(5325), 509–515. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.277.5325.509
Bracken, L. J., & Wainwright, J. (2006). Geomorphological equilibrium: myth and metaphor? Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, 31(2), 167–178. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-5661.2006.00204.x
Breckling, B., Jopp, F., & Reuter, H. (2010). System Analysis and Context Assessment [Electronic resource]. In Modelling complex ecological dynamics (pp. 43–54). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-05029-9_4
Castella, J.-C., Trung, T. N., & Boissau, S. (2005). Ecology and Society: Participatory Simulation of Land-Use Changes in the Northern Mountains of Vietnam: the Combined Use of an Agent-Based Model, a Role-Playing Game, and a Geographic Information System. Ecology and Society, 10(1). http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol10/iss1/art27/
Castree, N., Rogers, A., & Sherman, D. J. (2005). Questioning geography: fundamental debates. Blackwell Pub. https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/auckland/detail.action?docID=243571
Castree, N., Rogers, A., Sherman, D. J., & Ebooks Corporation. (2005). Models, modelling, and geography [Electronic resource]. In Questioning geography: fundamental debates. Blackwell Pub. http://auckland.eblib.com.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/patron/Read.aspx?p=243571&pg=220
Chorley, R. J., & Kennedy, B. A. (1971). Physical geography: a systems approach. Prentice-Hall.
Coco, G., & Murray, A. B. (2007). Patterns in the sand: From forcing templates to self-organization. Geomorphology, 91(3–4), 271–290. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2007.04.023
Coe, M. J., Cumming, D. H., & Phillipson, J. (1976). Biomass and production of large African herbivores in relation to rainfall and primary production. Oecologia, 22(4), 341–354. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00345312
Dawson, R. J., Dickson, M. E., Nicholls, R. J., Hall, J. W., Walkden, M. J. A., Stansby, P. K., Mokrech, M., Richards, J., Zhou, J., Milligan, J., Jordan, A., Pearson, S., Rees, J., Bates, P. D., Koukoulas, S., & Watkinson, A. R. (2009). Integrated analysis of risks of coastal flooding and cliff erosion under scenarios of long term change. Climatic Change, 95(1–2), 249–288. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-008-9532-8
DeAngelis, D. L., & Mooji, W. M. (2003). In praise of mechanistically rich models. In C. D. W. Canham, J. Cole, & W. K. Lauenroth (Eds.), Models in ecosystem science (pp. 63–83). Princeton University Press.
Diamond, J. M. (2002). Archaeology: Life with the artificial Anasazi. Nature, 419(6907), 567–569. https://doi.org/10.1038/419567a
Dickson, M. E., Walkden, M. J. A., & Hall, J. W. (2007). Systemic impacts of climate change on an eroding coastal region over the twenty-first century. Climatic Change, 84(2), 141–166. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9200-9
Donovan, T. M., & Welden, C. W. (2002). Spreadsheet exercises in conservation biology and landscape ecology. Sinauer Associates.
Drechsler, M. (1998). Sensitivity analysis of complex models. Biological Conservation, 86(3), 401–412. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0006-3207(98)00021-4
Easton, V. J., & McColl, J. H. (2000). Statistics Glossary. http://www.stats.gla.ac.uk/steps/glossary/index.html
Edward N. Lorenz. (1963). Deterministic Nonperiodic Flow. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 20, 130–141. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469
Epstein, J. M. (2008). Why Model? Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 11(4). http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/11/4/12.html
F. Jeltsch, M. S. Muller, V. Grimm, C. Wissel and R. Brandl. (1997). Pattern Formation Triggered by Rare Events: Lessons from the Spread of Rabies. Proceedings: Biological Sciences, 264(1381), 495–503. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/50537
George L. W. Perry. (2009). Modelling and Simulation. In A companion to environmental geography. Wiley-Blackwell. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/9781444305722.ch20
Gillman, M. (2009). Population Dynamics: Introduction [Electronic resource]. In Encyclopedia of life sciences: Vol. Facts on File science library. Facts On File. https://doi.org/10.1038/npg.els.0003164
Gotelli, N. J. (2008). A primer of ecology (4th ed). Sinauer Associates.
Gotelli, N. J., & Ellison, A. M. (2004). A primer of ecological statistics. In A primer of ecological statistics. Sinauer Associates Publishers.
H. Charles Romesburg. (1981). Wildlife Science: Gaining Reliable Knowledge. The Journal of Wildlife Management, 45(2), 293–313. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/3807913
Haefner, J. W. & SpringerLink (Online service). (2005). Modeling biological systems: principles and applications (2nd ed) [Electronic resource]. Springer. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/b106568
Hardisty, J., Taylor, D. M., & Metcalfe, S. E. (1993). Computerised environmental modelling: a practical introduction using Excel. J. Wiley & Sons.
Hatamian, T. S. (2001). Mathematical fortune-telling. Complexity, 6(5), 27–40. https://doi.org/10.1002/cplx.1049
Heino, M., & Enberg, K. (2009). Sustainable Use of Populations and Overexploitation [Electronic resource]. In Encyclopedia of life sciences: Vol. Facts on File science library. Facts On File. https://doi.org/10.1002/9780470015902.a0020476
Helen M. Regan, Mark Colyvan and Mark A. Burgman. (2002). A Taxonomy and Treatment of Uncertainty for Ecology and Conservation Biology. Ecological Applications, 12(2), 618–628. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/3060967
Hilborn, R., & Mangel, M. (1997). The ecological detective: confronting models with data: Vol. Monographs in population biology [Electronic resource]. Princeton University Press. https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/auckland/detail.action?docID=1113396
Howard, A. D. (1965). Geomorphological systems; equilibrium and dynamics. American Journal of Science, 263(4), 302–312. https://doi.org/10.2475/ajs.263.4.302
Jeffrey S. Dean, Robert C. Euler, George J. Gumerman, Fred Plog, Richard H. Hevly and Thor N. V. Karlstrom. (1985). Human Behavior, Demography, and Paleoenvironment on the Colorado Plateaus. American Antiquity, 50(3), 537–554. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/280320?sid=primo&origin=crossref&seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents
Joel P. W. Pitt, Sue P. Worner and Andrew V. Suarez. (2009). Predicting Argentine Ant Spread over the Heterogeneous Landscape Using a Spatially Explicit Stochastic Model. Ecological Applications, 19(5), 1176–1186. https://www.jstor.org/stable/40347260
John R. Platt. (1964). Strong Inference. Science, 146(3642), 347–353. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/1714268
John W. Fitzpatrick, Martjan Lammertink, M. David Luneau Jr., Tim W. Gallagher, Bobby R. Harrison, Gene M. Sparling, Kenneth V. Rosenberg, Ronald W. Rohrbaugh, Elliott C. H. Swarthout, Peter H. Wrege, Sara Barker Swarthout, Marc S. Dantzker, Russell A. Charif, Timothy R. Barksdale, J. V. Remsen Jr., Scott D. Simon and Douglas Zollner. (2005). Ivory-Billed Woodpecker (Campephilus principalis) Persists in Continental North America. Science, 308(5727), 1460–1462. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1114103
Lane, D. M. (2003). HyperStat Online: An Introductory Statistics Textbook and Discussion of whether most published research is false. http://davidmlane.com/hyperstat/
Laurance, W. F., & Williamson, G. B. (2001). Positive Feedbacks among Forest Fragmentation, Drought, and Climate Change in the Amazon. Conservation Biology, 15(6), 1529–1535. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1523-1739.2001.01093.x
Lazar, N. (2010). Ockham’s Razor. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Computational Statistics, 2(2), 243–246. https://doi.org/10.1002/wics.75
Lenton, T. M., & Williams, H. T. P. (2013). On the origin of planetary-scale tipping points. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 28(7), 380–382. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2013.06.001
Levin, S. A. (1997). Mathematical and Computational Challenges in Population Biology and Ecosystems Science. Science, 275(5298), 334–343. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.275.5298.334
Lowry, R. (2003). Inferential Statistics. http://vassarstats.net/textbook/
Marten, G. (2005). Environmental Tipping Points: A New Paradigm for Restoring Ecological Security. Journal of Policy Studies (Japan), 20, 75–87. http://www.ecotippingpoints.org/resources/publication-journal-of-policy-studies.html
Mayer, D. G., & Butler, D. G. (1993). Statistical validation. Ecological Modelling, 68(1–2), 21–32. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3800(93)90105-2
McNamara, D. E., & Werner, B. T. (2008). Coupled barrier island–resort model: 1. Emergent instabilities induced by strong human-landscape interactions. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113(F1). https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JF000840
Millington, J., Romero-Calcerrada, R., Wrainwright, J., & Perry, G. (2008). An Agent-Based Model of Mediterranean Agricultural Land-Use/Cover Change for Examining Wildfire Risk. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 11(4). http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/11/4/4.html
Müller, P. (2010). Constructing climate knowledge with computer models. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1(4), 565–580. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.60
Mulligan, M., & Wainwright, J. (2005). Modelling and model building [eBook]. In J. Wainwright & M. Mulligan (Eds.), Environmental Modelling (pp. 7–68). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. http://site.ebrary.com.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/lib/auckland/reader.action?ppg=27&docID=10650971&tm=1453163605208
Murphy, B. P., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2012). What controls the distribution of tropical forest and savanna? Ecology Letters, 15(7), 748–758. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2012.01771.x
Murray, A. B. (2003). Contrasting the goals, strategies, and predictions associated with simplified numerical models and detailed simulations. In P. R. Wilcock & R. M. Iverson (Eds.), Prediction in geomorphology (pp. 151–165). American Geophysical Union. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/doi/10.1029/135GM11/summary
Murray, A. B., Coco, G., & Goldstein, E. B. (2014). Cause and effect in geomorphic systems: Complex systems perspectives. Geomorphology, 214, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2014.03.001
Naomi Oreskes, Kristin Shrader-Frechette and Kenneth Belitz. (1994). Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science, 263(5147), 641–646. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/2883078
Oreskes, N. (2003). The role of quantitative models in science. In C. D. W. Canham, J. Cole, & W. K. Lauenroth (Eds.), Models in ecosystem science (pp. 14–31). Princeton University Press.
O’Sullivan, D., & Perry, G. L. W. (2013). Spatial simulation: exploring pattern and process. Wiley-Blackwell. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781118527085
Pauly, D., Christensen, V., Guénette, S., Pitcher, T. J., Sumaila, U. R., Walters, C. J., Watson, R., & Zeller, D. (2002). Towards sustainability in world fisheries. Nature, 418(6898), 689–695. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01017
Pidgeon, N., & Fischhoff, B. (2011). The role of social and decision sciences in communicating uncertain climate risks. Nature Climate Change, 1(1), 35–41. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1080
Quarteroni, A. (2009). Mathematical models in science and engineering. Notices of the AMS, 56(1), 10–19. https://www.ams.org/notices/200901/tx090100010p.pdf
Quinn, G. P., & Keough, M. J. (2002). Experimental design and data analysis for biologists. Cambridge University Press.
R. F. Costantino, R. A. Desharnais, J. M. Cushing and Brian Dennis. (1997). Chaotic Dynamics in an Insect Population. Science, 275(5298), 389–391. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/2891006
Ran Nathan, Uriel N. Safriel and Imanuel Noy-Meir. (2001). Field Validation and Sensitivity Analysis of a Mechanistic Model for Tree Seed Dispersal by Wind. Ecology, 82(2), 374–388. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2679866
Richardson, K. A. (2003). On the limits of bottom-up computer simulation: towards a nonlinear modeling culture. 36th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2003. Proceedings of The. https://doi.org/10.1109/HICSS.2003.1174227
Robert L. Axtell, Joshua M. Epstein, Jeffrey S. Dean, George J. Gumerman, Alan C. Swedlund, Jason Harburger, Shubha Chakravarty, Ross Hammond, Jon Parker and Miles Parker. (2002). Population Growth and Collapse in a Multiagent Model of the Kayenta Anasazi in Long House Valley. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 99(10), 7275–7279. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/3057853
Rowntree, D. (2004). Statistics without tears: a primer for non-mathematicians: Vol. Allyn and Bacon classics (Classic ed). Allyn and Bacon.
Ruckelshaus, M., Hartway, C., & Kareiva, P. (1997). Assessing the Data Requirements of Spatially Explicit Dispersal Models. Conservation Biology, 11(6), 1298–1306. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1523-1739.1997.96151.x
SCHNEIDER, D. C. (2001). The Rise of the Concept of Scale in Ecology. BioScience, 51(7). https://doi.org/10.1641/0006-3568(2001)051[0545:TROTCO]2.0.CO;2
Schwämmle, V., & Herrmann, H. J. (2003). Geomorphology: Solitary wave behaviour of sand dunes. Nature, 426(6967), 619–620. https://doi.org/10.1038/426619a
Sibley, D. A. (2006). Comment on ‘Ivory-billed Woodpecker (Campephilus principalis) Persists in Continental North America’. Science, 311(5767), 1555a–1555a. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1122778
Smith, E. (2002). Uncertainty analysis. In Encyclopedia of environmetrics. Wiley.
Sokal, R. R., & Rohlf, F. J. (1995). Biometry: the principles and practice of statistics in biological research (3rd ed). Freeman.
Spiegelhalter, D., Pearson, M., & Short, I. (2011). Visualizing Uncertainty About the Future. Science, 333(6048), 1393–1400. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1191181
StatSoft. (2013). Electronic Statistics Textbook. https://statisticasoftware.wordpress.com/2012/04/12/electronic-statistics-textbook/
Stefanon, L., Carniello, L., D’Alpaos, A., & Rinaldo, A. (2012). Signatures of sea level changes on tidal geomorphology: Experiments on network incision and retreat. Geophysical Research Letters, 39(12). https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051953
Sterman, J. D. (2000). Learning In and About Complex Systems. Reflections, 1(3), 24–51. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/sdr.4260100214
Stockdon, H. F., Holman, R. A., Howd, P. A., & Sallenger, A. H. (2006). Empirical parameterization of setup, swash, and runup. Coastal Engineering, 53(7), 573–588. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2005.12.005
Svoray, T., & Nathan, R. (2003). Spatially and temporally realistic and dynamic modelling for effects of water, temperature and light on tree population spread. Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on GeoComputation; GeoComputation. https://web.archive.org/web/20220120044142/http://www.geocomputation.org/2003/Papers/Svoray_Paper.pdf
The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses. (1890). Science, 15(366), 92–96. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/1764336
Thompsom, N. S., & Derr, P. (2009). Contra Epstein, Good Explanations Predict. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 12(9). http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/12/1/9.html
Thorsten Wiegand, Florian Jeltsch, Ilkka Hanski and Volker Grimm. (2003). Using Pattern-Oriented Modeling for Revealing Hidden Information: A Key for Reconciling Ecological Theory and Application. Oikos, 100(2), 209–222. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/3548178
Turner, M. G., Gardner, R. H., & O’Neill, R. V. (2001). Landscape ecology in theory and practice: pattern and process. Springer. https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007%2Fb97434
van Maanen, B., Coco, G., & Bryan, K. R. (2015). On the ecogeomorphological feedbacks that control tidal channel network evolution in a sandy mangrove setting. Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 471. https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rspa.2015.0115
van Maanen, B., Coco, G., Bryan, K. R., & Friedrichs, C. T. (2013). Modeling the morphodynamic response of tidal embayments to sea-level rise. Ocean Dynamics, 63(11–12), 1249–1262. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-013-0649-6
Venette, Robert. C., Kriticos, Darren J. Magarey, Roger D. Koch, Frank H. Baker, Richard H. A. (n.d.). Pest Risk Maps for Invasive Alien Species: A Roadmap for Improvement. Bioscience, 5, 349–362. https://link.gale.com/apps/doc/A226474370/BIC?u=learn&sid=summon&xid=e2365909
Volker Grimm, Eloy Revilla, Uta Berger, Florian Jeltsch, Wolf M. Mooij, Steven F. Railsback, Hans-Hermann Thulke, Jacob Weiner, Thorsten Wiegand and Donald L. DeAngelis. (2005a). Pattern-Oriented Modeling of Agent-Based Complex Systems: Lessons from Ecology. Science, 310(5750), 987–991. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/3842807
Volker Grimm, Eloy Revilla, Uta Berger, Florian Jeltsch, Wolf M. Mooij, Steven F. Railsback, Hans-Hermann Thulke, Jacob Weiner, Thorsten Wiegand and Donald L. DeAngelis. (2005b). Pattern-Oriented Modeling of Agent-Based Complex Systems: Lessons from Ecology. Science, 310(5750), 987–991. http://www.jstor.org.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/stable/3842807
Walker, W. E., Harremoes, P., Rotmans, J., Van Der Sluijs, J. P., Van Asselt, M. B. A., Janssen, P., & Krayer von Krauss, M. P. (2003a). Defining uncertainty: a conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support. Integrated Assesment, 4(1), 5–17. http://journals.sfu.ca.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/int_assess/index.php/iaj/article/view/122/79
Walker, W. E., Harremoes, P., Rotmans, J., Van Der Sluijs, J. P., Van Asselt, M. B. A., Janssen, P., & Krayer von Krauss, M. P. (2003b). Defining uncertainty: a conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support. Integrated Assesment, 4(1), 5–17. http://journals.sfu.ca.ezproxy.auckland.ac.nz/int_assess/index.php/iaj/article/view/122/79
Winsberg, E. (2009). Computer Simulation and the Philosophy of Science. Philosophy Compass, 4(5), 835–845. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-9991.2009.00236.x
Worm, B., Hilborn, R., Baum, J. K., Branch, T. A., Collie, J. S., Costello, C., Fogarty, M. J., Fulton, E. A., Hutchings, J. A., Jennings, S., Jensen, O. P., Lotze, H. K., Mace, P. M., McClanahan, T. R., Minto, C., Palumbi, S. R., Parma, A. M., Ricard, D., Rosenberg, A. A., … Zeller, D. (2009). Rebuilding Global Fisheries. Science, 325(5940), 578–585. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1173146
Zhou, Z., Olabarrieta, M., Stefanon, L., D’Alpaos, A., Carniello, L., & Coco, G. (2014). A comparative study of physical and numerical modeling of tidal network ontogeny. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 119(4), 892–912. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JF003092
Zuur, A. F., Ieno, E. N., & Elphick, C. S. (2010). A protocol for data exploration to avoid common statistical problems. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 1(1), 3–14. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2009.00001.x
Zuur, A. F., Ieno, E. N., & Smith, G. M. (2007). Analysing ecological data: Vol. Statistics for biology and health. Springer. https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007%2F978-0-387-45972-1
